Week 7 — Resource-Rational Minds: Is Cognition Just Sampling?
Week 7 of 8. If the mind is Bayesian, why is it so bad at probability?
This is the standing embarrassment of the field: rational models fit aggregate data beautifully, while the heuristics-and-biases literature documents people failing basic probability judgments constantly. Resource-rational analysis proposes a reconciliation. Suppose the brain approximates the correct posterior by drawing a smal
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